span class=”notranslate” onmouseover=”_tipon(this)” onmouseout=”_tipoff()”> I ask a few seconds of reflection for the following: the set of phone you have in your pocket has the processing power and storage capacity several times greater than the giant computer that you used to enter the ICQ . Incidentally in 2003, its Cell is more powerful than the computer that NASA took the Apollo 11 to the Moon
The speed at which technology advances is observed by Moore’s Law , “a prophecy” 1965 the then president of Intel, Gordon Moore. Moore’s Law says that the number of transistors on a chip doubles every 18 months, and this pattern holds since. In 2001, inventor and futurist Ray Kurzweil has extended the theory of Moore, saying that whenever a technology finds a kind of barrier that stops or slows down their development, comes another technology that breaks this barrier. Kurzweil believes that humanity must attain technological singularity in 2045 - the singularity is the the name given to the time when civilization reach so fast, advanced technological levels and change deeply the paradigms of society as a whole, that artificial intelligence will surpass human intelligence, and our limited mind today is unable to predict exactly what it will mean.
Technological developments, then, is not linear, and you can not wait for the next 20 years we proceed much as in the 20 years that have passed Indeed, the world will be completelydifferent:. Taking into account the projection of Moore and analyzes Kurzweil, who is one of the most respected futurists in the world, in 18 or 20 years the technology will be hundreds of thousands of times more advanced than it is today ( take a look at this chart to understand the size of the thing ). So it is very difficult to predict the paradigms that are broken in this period.
But there are those who are trying – people who even had success in the past in beating about where we technologically today. The PEW , research institute on the internet, talked to experts about the possibilities for the internet in the coming years. The site Edge.org interviewed Kevin Kelly, editor of Wired magazine and one of the most respected analysts on the future of technology. And we searched the vast material collected in these interviews in search of the answer: how different our lives will be in 20 years because of technological change?
Wearables You must have heard that category of gadgets – it lacks a proper translation in Portuguese. The term literally translates as “wearable” and it fit devices like clocks from Samsung and Apple, Glass, Google, and bracelets that record physical activities such as Fitbit. According to experts, this is where we bring in the earliest science fiction films. They will cheapen, become popular and will incorporate augmented reality capable of changing our everyday lives and how the technological resources related applications. Imagine seeing reality with layers of data – view at your glasses, the distance from where you are to where you want to go, with coordinates live? The possibilities for how these gadgets are quite large.
The scarcity of attention “We spend four, maybe five years studying and training to learn to read and write, and this learning process affects the connections in our brain. (…) It may be that we learn to manage our attention, to think critically, (…) all this ‘technological literacy’, we have to spend years training and studying. Maybe demande training, study, “says Kevin Kelly, editor of Wired magazine. Other experts agree: attention and the ability to focus on something for an extended period are rare commodities, and maybe still do not know, but it is necessary to study and devote time to adapt our brains to this context hyperlinks and cross-references between content we consume without letting it interfere with the concentration and absorption of information.
Internet of Things The Internet is still, for us, something in which we are connected or not. Ie, there are times when we are on the network and at times when we are completely disconnectedin 20 years, the relationship between us and the network will be similar to the way we deal with electricity:. It simply exists and permeates our daily lives. Do not talk about, do not analyze their impact and assume that it is simply time there. Just noticed that it did not exist when we have more. The same way that electricity, it is expected that the internet becomes so cheap that it will spread and reach even the poorest regions.
One of the experts said, anonymously: “. The internet and humanity are one thing, pro good or bad pro The internet of things will be the most useful innovation, and the one that will catch people by surprise.” Over the next 20 years, the internet will be part of practically everything we have and everything will integrate online – from the front of your home on your bike, your camera, your refrigerator, table lamps and door dinner.
Forget privacy If you think you have a problem with privacy, be aware that most analysts say is no going back. And instead of worrying about being in unmonitored, we give up fight for the impossible and try to lessen the impact of this new reality. How? Requiring more transparency(thus making sure who is monitoring us, when and why) and blind trading periods, a time frame to be free from the constant vigil.
The technology solves problems but creates others “Most of our problems today is tecnogenic, or were created by technology,” said Kevin Kelly. And most of the problems of the future, he says, will be created by technologies we are developing today .This happens since the first technological advancements – when, for example, man has developed a hammer made of stone, it has been used as a tool to produce other things, but also was used to injure people more effectively. And Kelly says that using a hammer to one thing or another is a matter of choice, but before inventing the hammer, this choice did not exist. “Technology continues to give means to do good and evil, and is expanding both possibilities, but the fact that we have a new choice every time is a good thing too.”